PAGASA says no worries BUT Int'l forecasters says otherwise

PAGASA said that this weather disturbance (KABAYAN) is too far to directly affect any part of the country. Their estimated rainfall amount is from 15 – 25 mm per hour within the 600 km diameter of the storm.

But NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission prediction says otherwise, in fact, they are saying that there's enough rainfall going our way tonight till tomorrow that flood in our city is very likely.
Weather-forecast.com and AccuWeather.com concurs with NASA's forecast... predicting 293mm precipitation, a recipe for flooding in a city such as Olongapo where 250mm and above is already too much for our drainage system to handle.
No harm in being prepared.... if it does not arrive.... salamat sa Diyos.

Fri	Tide Set One	08:22 AM	1.31 m	05:10 PM	-0.01 m
	Tide Set Two
Sat	Tide Set One	09:08 AM	1.36 m	05:43 PM	-0.03 m
	Tide Set Two
Sun	Tide Set One	09:53 AM	1.38 m	06:13 PM	-0.02 m

High Tide tomorrow is 9:08am at 1.36 meters

PAGASA lowered public storm warning signal, BUT this blogger believes that Olongapenos SHOULD brace for anticipated FLOODING

Be ready for flooding, may not be as bad as Ondoy but could be somewhere near it.

Olongapo City 1 – 3 Day Weather Forecast Summary: Heavy rain (total 278mm), heaviest during Fri night, Wind will be generally light.

250mm and above precipitation means flooding in our city.

While PAGASA Enhanced Satellite Image and Track of Storm Juaning indicate lesser disturbance prompting them to lower storm warning signals. This observer believe that such public announcement can be detrimental to our constituency in Olongapo City because people may lower their guards thinking that the worst is over.....

PAGASA's focus is on the strenght and movement of the storm. This writer's focus is on anticipating the volume of water that will pour in Olongapo City, a flood prone locality.

NASA's Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission predicts that we will be flooded.

International Weather forecasts indicate that we will be flooded tomorrow afternoon til night.... I have been reading their forecast for years.... and this is one of the very few instances when a 97mm precipitation forecast was raised.

Tide charts are provided below for added reference.

PREDICTED HOURLY HEIGHT OF TIDE
Subic Bay, Zambales
Philippine Date: Thursday, July 28, 2011

HOUR	HEIGHT	HOUR	HEIGHT
2400	0.42	1200	0.45
0100	0.51	1300	0.25
0200	0.61	1400	0.09
0300	0.73	1500	-0.02
0400	0.86	1600	-0.06
0500	0.98	1700	-0.05
0600	1.07	1800	0
0700	1.11	1900	0.07
0800	1.08	2000	0.14
0900	1	2100	0.21
1000	0.85	2200	0.26
1100	0.66	2300	0.32

Time	Height	Time	Height
Thu	Tide Set One	07:34 AM	1.23 m	04:34 PM	0.04 m
	Tide Set Two
Fri	Tide Set One	08:22 AM	1.31 m	05:10 PM	-0.01 m
	Tide Set Two
Sat	Tide Set One	09:08 AM	1.36 m	05:43 PM	-0.03 m

Disaster Risk Management Personnel and Rescue operatives should be placed on heightened alert.

Constituents MUST be fairly warned.

Better be safe than sorry...